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Tongass Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment

The future climate in the PCTR (and more specifically, the Tongass) will likely be different than both what we see now, and what we have seen in the past.  According to projections, the Tongass will gradually warm and receive slightly increased precipitation over the next century. Considerable uncertainty exists, but one method to deal with uncertainty is to create a range of possible scenarios.  ACRC and partners at USFS, SNAP and ACCAP have recently worked together on climate change assessments in the PCTR. For more information, click on the links below which give the full reports and illustrated forecasts in the Tongass National Forest:

Climate Change on the Tongass National Forest - May 13, 2013

Summary Report of the Vulnerability Assessment

Tongass Climate Change Projections: Technical Methods and Interpretation

Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for Aquatic Resources in the Tongass National Forest - Nov 2014

For more information regarding climate change in the PCTR, including the Tongass and Chugach National Forests, please visit the UAF Scenarios Network for Alaska & Arctic Planning (SNAP) website: http://www.snap.uaf.edu/  

USFSSNAPACCAP
Historical and Projected Precipitation and Temperature in the Tongass National Forest over 100 years
Prec_1971_2000Prec_2090_2099
Historical Annual Precipitation in Tongass National Forest (1971 - 2000)

Projected Annual Precipitation in Tongass National Forest (2090-2099)

Temp_1971_2000Temp_2090_2099
Historical Annual Temperature in Tongass National Forest (1971 - 2000)Projected Annual Temperature in Tongass National Forest (2090 - 2099)

SNAP and NPS Present the Climate Change Scenario Planning Workshop

Scenarios Network for Alaska & Arctic Planning (SNAP) and National Park Service (NPS) sponsored a Climate Change Scenario Planning Workshop in February 2012. From this workshop, the following four Projected Climate Change Scenarios were created:

For more information on climate scenario planning, please visit the SNAP website

 
 

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